{"id":833,"date":"2008-01-30T22:00:18","date_gmt":"2008-01-31T02:00:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/2008\/01\/30\/a-blatantly-political-log-entry\/"},"modified":"2008-01-30T22:00:18","modified_gmt":"2008-01-31T02:00:18","slug":"a-blatantly-political-log-entry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/archives\/833","title":{"rendered":"a blatantly political log entry"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I haven\u2019t posted one of these in some time, so here goes&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Message to Frankfort<\/strong>\u2014<br \/>\nYou can spend my money if it helps Kentuckians become smarter or healthier. <em>Otherwise, back off!<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction: DEM Party Nomination<\/strong>\u2014<br \/>\nEdwards will directly or indirectly throw his support to the Clinton faction, and he won\u2019t wait much longer to do it. He needs to stay relevant and be tied to the winner. By supporting Hillary, he can do both, with enough extra percentage points to virtually ensure the outcome. It will happen before the so-called Super Tuesday vote, either openly or though the union clout he\u2019s already in a position to maneuver. This will be enough for her to clinch the nomination when Obama loses steam after too many individual state losses. Edwards always knew he would be facing Clinton in this contest and entered the race prepared to strike a deal, if it came to that. He didn&#8217;t count on a \u201cBa-Rackstar\u201d to emerge and knock him out so soon. He\u2019ll take what he can get from someone who, ultimately, the Party will not bring itself to reject. <em>He won\u2019t easily forgive the young politician who ruined his campaign to be the Clinton alternative.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction: GOP Party Nomination<\/strong>\u2014<br \/>\nThis is a tougher call for me to make tonight. McCain edged a surging Romney in Florida, thanks to the significant endorsements of a popular governor and Cuban-American senator. This trend could continue into next Tuesday\u2019s vote, if numerous politicians across the country jump on McCain\u2019s bandwagon. Romney\u2019s potential to take a decisive lead depends on whether rank and file Republicans have forgotten McCain\u2019s maverick actions against the conservative base as quickly as the Party establishment. Call me cynical, but I\u2019m afraid they will, with too many worries about who can beat Hillary. McCain will win the big states next week in the winner-take-all format and seize an unstoppable momentum, unless Huckabee drops out and backs Romney, which I don\u2019t see in the tea leaves. <em>The right wing will wake up with a hangover and start demanding their kind of conservative as a running mate.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Prediction: General Election<\/strong>\u2014<br \/>\nToo far away to envision the result, but much of the country will be bummed out when the reality sinks in that this election will not be about a new era of leadership. Basically, Republicans already hate the Clintons. Democrats will attempt to manufacture hatred for McCain. Turnout will rule the day. For way too long, way too many citizens have stayed away from the polls because they haven\u2019t believed there was a meaningful difference between the tickets. The political-observer side of me looks at the logical eventualities and informs you, sadly, that next November is shaping up to be more of the same. On the other hand, my heart yearns for the kind of clear choice that a youthful idealist vs mature technocrat would provide. <em>Obama vs Romney would truly be about the future, and it would energize a huge electorate like no contest the Republic has seen in a very long time. <\/em> <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I haven\u2019t posted one of these in some time, so here goes&#8230; Message to Frankfort\u2014 You can spend my money if it helps Kentuckians become smarter or healthier. Otherwise, back off! Prediction: DEM Party Nomination\u2014 Edwards will directly or indirectly throw his support to the Clinton faction, and he won\u2019t wait much longer to do [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[46,16,48,49],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/833"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=833"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/833\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=833"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=833"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.xorph.com\/uj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=833"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}